论文标题
与噪声混合的非对数孔后部分布的有效采样
Efficient sampling of non log-concave posterior distributions with mixture of noises
论文作者
论文摘要
本文着重于应用程序中经常遇到的一系列具有挑战性的反问题。正向模型是一个复杂的非线性黑框,可能是非注射式的,其输出涵盖了数十年的幅度。观察值应该被添加和乘法噪声和审查制度同时损坏。在许多应用程序中,这项工作的目的是在参数估计之上提供不确定性量化。由此产生的对数可能是棘手的,并且潜在的非Log-concave。提出了一种改编的贝叶斯方法,以提供可信度间隔以及点估计。提出了一种MCMC算法来处理多模式后分布,即使在没有全球Lipschitz常数(或它很大)的情况下。它结合了两个内核,即(预处理调整后的兰格文)PMALA的改进版本和一个多次尝试大都市(MTM)内核。每当光滑时,它的梯度都会承认Lipschitz常数太大而无法在推理过程中利用。该采样器解决了可能性复杂形式引起的所有挑战。所提出的方法在经典测试的多模式分布以及天文学的具有挑战性和现实的反问题上进行了说明。
This paper focuses on a challenging class of inverse problems that is often encountered in applications. The forward model is a complex non-linear black-box, potentially non-injective, whose outputs cover multiple decades in amplitude. Observations are supposed to be simultaneously damaged by additive and multiplicative noises and censorship. As needed in many applications, the aim of this work is to provide uncertainty quantification on top of parameter estimates. The resulting log-likelihood is intractable and potentially non-log-concave. An adapted Bayesian approach is proposed to provide credibility intervals along with point estimates. An MCMC algorithm is proposed to deal with the multimodal posterior distribution, even in a situation where there is no global Lipschitz constant (or it is very large). It combines two kernels, namely an improved version of (Preconditioned Metropolis Adjusted Langevin) PMALA and a Multiple Try Metropolis (MTM) kernel. Whenever smooth, its gradient admits a Lipschitz constant too large to be exploited in the inference process. This sampler addresses all the challenges induced by the complex form of the likelihood. The proposed method is illustrated on classical test multimodal distributions as well as on a challenging and realistic inverse problem in astronomy.