论文标题
多模式网络中的模式转移的流量中断建模
Traffic disruption modelling with mode shift in multi-modal networks
论文作者
论文摘要
多模式运输系统被认为具有强大的失败耐受性,并且可以有效缓解城市充血问题。但是,由于一次仅应用于单个模式,估计多传输模式中的中断的影响是一个具有挑战性的问题。为了填补这一空白,本文提出了一个新的集成建模框架,用于在各种交通条件下对所有模式的多模式交通状态估计和对破坏影响的评估。首先,我们提出了一个迭代旅行分配模型,以阐明旅行需求与旅行行为之间的关联,包括对私人和公共交通的多模式起源到目的地的估计。其次,我们提供了实用的多模式旅行需求重新调整,将受影响的旅行者的模式转移。模式转移策略的优缺点通过基于几种基于情况的传输模拟实验展示。结果表明,均衡的模式转移,随着灵活的路线和绕道的早期公告,以便旅行者可以提前计划可以显着使所有旅行者受益于所有旅行者,而延迟的时间降低了46%,而稳定的路线分配在交通障碍的情况下保持了较高的平均交通流量和较高的不活动模式 - 路由选择帮助救济密度。
A multi-modal transport system is acknowledged to have robust failure tolerance and can effectively relieve urban congestion issues. However, estimating the impact of disruptions across multi-transport modes is a challenging problem due to a dis-aggregated modelling approach applied to only individual modes at a time. To fill this gap, this paper proposes a new integrated modelling framework for a multi-modal traffic state estimation and evaluation of the disruption impact across all modes under various traffic conditions. First, we propose an iterative trip assignment model to elucidate the association between travel demand and travel behaviour, including a multi-modal origin-to-destination estimation for private and public transport. Secondly, we provide a practical multi-modal travel demand re-adjustment that takes the mode shift of the affected travellers into consideration. The pros and cons of the mode shift strategy are showcased via several scenario-based transport simulating experiments. The results show that a well-balanced mode shift with flexible routing and early announcements of detours so that travellers can plan ahead can significantly benefit all travellers by a delay time reduction of 46%, while a stable route assignment maintains a higher average traffic flow and the inactive mode-route choice help relief density under the traffic disruptions.