论文标题

在制度转换模型中,有效的得分计算和期望最大化算法

Efficient Score Computation and Expectation-Maximization Algorithm in Regime-Switching Models

论文作者

Li, Chaojun, Qiu, Shi

论文摘要

这项研究提出了一种用于制度开关模型的得分计算的有效算法,并得出了有效的期望最大化(EM)算法。与现有算法不同,该算法不依赖于前后的过滤来获得平滑的制度概率,而仅涉及前向计算。此外,很容易扩展到计算得分的算法以计算Hessian矩阵。

This study proposes an efficient algorithm for score computation for regime-switching models, and derived from which, an efficient expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm. Different from existing algorithms, this algorithm does not rely on the forward-backward filtering for smoothed regime probabilities, and only involves forward computation. Moreover, the algorithm to compute score is readily extended to compute the Hessian matrix.

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