论文标题

每日牛奶产量校正因素:它们是什么?

Daily milk yield correction factors: what are they?

论文作者

Wu, Xiao-Lin, Wiggans, George, Norman, H. Duane, Miles, Asha M., Van Tassell, Curt, VI, Ransom L. Baldwin, Burchard, Javier, Durr, Joao

论文摘要

在测试日,通常将奶牛挤奶两次或多次,但并非所有这些挤奶都会采样并称重。已经提出了统计方法来估计奶牛的每日产量,以两个广泛类别的各种收益率校正因子为中心。最初的方法估计在AM-PM挤奶计划中,早晨(AM)或晚上(PM)产量翻了一番,假设AM等于AM和PM挤奶间隔。但是,AM和PM挤奶间隔可能会有所不同,白天和晚上之间的牛奶分泌率可能有所不同。通过AM和PM牛奶产量之间的各种挤奶间隔类别(MIC)的平均差异来评估添加剂校正因子(ACF)。我们表明,ACF模型等于分类回归变量的每日产量回归模型,以及具有固定回归系数的AM或PM收益率的连续变量。同样,可以将线性回归模型作为ACF模型实现,该模型具有AM的回归系数或从数据估算的PM收益率。乘法校正因子(MCF)是每日产量与单个挤奶产量的比率,但它们的统计解释有所不同。总体而言,MCF比ACF更准确地估计牛奶产量。 MCF面临生物学和统计挑战。提出了指数回归模型作为估计每日牛奶产量的替代模型,从而提高了本研究的准确性。 ACF和MCF的表征表明,与每日牛奶产量相比,ACF和MCF与AM或PM产量增加一倍或PM产量相比如何提高准确性。明确描述了这些方法,以估计AM和PM挤奶计划中的每日牛奶产量。尽管如此,这些原理通常适用于每天挤奶两次以上的奶牛,并且与每日脂肪和蛋白质产量的估计相似,并进行了一些必要的修改。

Cows are typically milked two or more times on a test day, but not all these milkings are sampled and weighed. Statistical methods have been proposed to estimate daily yields in dairy cows, centering on various yield correction factors in two broad categories. The initial approach estimated a test-day yield with doubled morning (AM) or evening (PM) yield in the AM-PM milking plans, assuming equal AM and PM milking intervals. However, AM and PM milking intervals can vary, and milk secretion rates may be different between day and night. Additive correction factors (ACF) are evaluated by the average differences between AM and PM milk yield for various milking interval classes (MIC). We show that an ACF model is equivalent to a regression model of daily yield on categorical regressor variables, and a continuous variable for AM or PM yield with a fixed regression coefficient. Similarly, a linear regression model can be implemented as an ACF model with the regression coefficient for AM or PM yield estimated from the data. Multiplicative correction factors (MCF) are ratio of daily yield to yield from single milkings, but their statistical interpretations vary. Overall, MCF were more accurate for estimating daily milk yield than ACF. MCF have biological and statistical challenges. An exponential regression model was proposed as an alternative model for estimating daily milk yield, which improved the accuracy in the present study. Characterization of ACF and MCF showed how ACF and MCF improved the accuracy compared to doubling AM or PM yield as the daily milk yield. The methods were explicitly described to estimate daily milk yield in AM and PM milking plans. Still, the principles are generally applicable to cows milked more than two times a day, and they apply similarly to the estimation of daily fat and protein yields with some necessary modifications.

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