论文标题

通过碳退回义务对永久二氧化碳处置的可持续融资

Sustainable financing of permanent CO2 disposal through a Carbon Takeback Obligation

论文作者

Jenkins, Stuart, Mitchell-Larson, Eli, Haszeldine, Stuart, Allen, Myles

论文摘要

除非有立即,前所未有的,否则全球对碳密集型能源和产品的需求减少,然后将需要在本世纪中叶之前捕获和永久存储数十亿吨二氧化碳(CO2)以实现巴黎协议目标。然而,较便宜,临时,碳存储的竞争意味着永久处置仍然饿死了投资,目前约占能源和工业流程(EIP)排放的0.1%。该存储的分数必须达到100%,以阻止EIP引起全球变暖。在这里,我们表明,通过对化石燃料生产商和进口商的进行性碳撤回义务(CTO),可以通过提出越来越多的储存分数来进行成本效益的过渡。在传统的1.5°C方案中,直到2040年代,对消费者的储存成本低于定价碳排放,此后可比或较低。 CTO与减少二氧化碳生产的措施相结合的措施将提供最低风险的途径,以达到净净净。

Unless there is immediate, unprecedented, reduction in global demand for carbon-intensive energy and products, then capture and permanent storage of billions of tonnes of carbon dioxide (CO2) annually will be needed before mid-century to meet Paris Agreement goals. Yet competition from cheaper, temporary, carbon storage means that permanent disposal remains starved of investment, currently representing about 0.1% of Energy and Industrial Process (EIP) emissions. This stored fraction must reach 100% to stop EIPs causing global warming. Here we show that a cost-effective transition can occur by mandating an increasing stored fraction through a progressive Carbon Takeback Obligation (CTO) on fossil fuel producers and importers. Projected costs of storage to the consumer are lower than pricing carbon emissions in conventional 1.5°C scenarios until the 2040s, and comparable or lower thereafter. A CTO combined with measures to reduce CO2 production would deliver the lowest-risk pathway to achieving net zero.

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