论文标题

部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测

Response-adaptive randomization in clinical trials: from myths to practical considerations

论文作者

Robertson, David S., Lee, Kim May, Lopez-Kolkovska, Boryana C., Villar, Sofia S.

论文摘要

反应自适应随机化(RAR)是更广泛的数据依赖性抽样算法的一部分,该算法通常用作临床试验作为激励应用。在这种情况下,患者对治疗的分配是由随机概率根据应计响应数据而变化的随机概率来确定的,以实现实验目标。自1930年代以来,RAR从生物统计学文献中受到了广泛的理论关注,并且是许多辩论的主题。在过去的十年中,它已从众所周知的实践示例及其在机器学习中广泛使用的驱动下,从应用和方法社区获得了新的考虑。关于该主题的论文对其有用性提出了不同的看法,这些观点并不容易调和。这项工作旨在通过对在临床试验中使用RAR进行辩论时考虑统一,广泛,新鲜的方法来解决这一差距。

Response-Adaptive Randomization (RAR) is part of a wider class of data-dependent sampling algorithms, for which clinical trials are typically used as a motivating application. In that context, patient allocation to treatments is determined by randomization probabilities that change based on the accrued response data in order to achieve experimental goals. RAR has received abundant theoretical attention from the biostatistical literature since the 1930's and has been the subject of numerous debates. In the last decade, it has received renewed consideration from the applied and methodological communities, driven by well-known practical examples and its widespread use in machine learning. Papers on the subject present different views on its usefulness, and these are not easy to reconcile. This work aims to address this gap by providing a unified, broad and fresh review of methodological and practical issues to consider when debating the use of RAR in clinical trials.

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